6 Comments
User's avatar
David Atkinson's avatar

Thanks Smash. Great stuff.

Brian Barry Ebal's avatar

Hi Smash, thanks for the epic content. My inquiry is to why you mentioned that the 1/23 Imbalance had been resolved yesterday. It was a P-profile imbalance but my understanding is that it could get resolved to either the downside/upside, whichever comes first. I thought it got resolved to the downside on Wednesday so one wouldn't necessarily carry it forward. Perhaps I'm misinterpreting it. Any further elaboration would be helpful

Smashelito's avatar

Thank you, Brian. P-shape profiles indicate an imbalance to the upside, meaning the auction is incomplete to the upside having no excess. While P-shape profiles can lead to continuation in both directions, they are not considered finished until the auction is completed to the upside. As we are in an uptrend, the expectation is for higher prices to complete the auction as excess marks the end of one auction and the beginning of another.

When we observe continuation to the downside without having completed the auction to the upside (in uptrend), as on Wednesday, it is typically caused by long liquidation. Liquidation breaks often strengthens the market by eliminating weak long positions, potential sellers and drawing in stronger buyers at lower prices.

In other words, it was not unexpected to see buyers active on that drop on Wednesday, and the clean up of the unfinished highs the following day.

I hope this is more understandable.

Brian Barry Ebal's avatar

Yes this is more understandable. Thanks

J.'s avatar

Thanks again Smash. Can I ask how you approached any trade entries today? I'd like to know how strict you are with entering right at your daily levels.

Stephan Choulos's avatar

Hi Smash, where do you define the market periods? I know the IB period, but thats it.