You said buyers failed to sustain the IB extension and that led to the double distribution trend day. When you're watching that happen live, what tells you the extension is actually failing vs just a normal pullback before it continues higher? Is this where Orderflow kicks in and you're verifying the move based on footprint, volume, etc? Also, any timeline on the private substack? Thanks Smash
In real time there’s no single signal that says “this is failing” vs “just a pullback”—it’s about context and behavior.
The first clue was the inability to sustain above the IB high. Healthy extensions show acceptance (time + volume). Here, price pushed above IB but couldn’t stay there. On top of that, we saw lower highs, and there was no 30-minute close above the IB high, telling me the auction never truly accepted higher prices.
Orderflow is used to validate what structure is already suggesting: aggressive buying failing to move price, absorption, exhaustion, etc. As always, none of this is binary—markets can always re-accept higher.
No hard date yet on the private Substack—I’ve been a bit tied up with non-trading-related projects.
Oh my goodness, I really sat in my hands watching this very emotional session, thank you so much for your help
You said buyers failed to sustain the IB extension and that led to the double distribution trend day. When you're watching that happen live, what tells you the extension is actually failing vs just a normal pullback before it continues higher? Is this where Orderflow kicks in and you're verifying the move based on footprint, volume, etc? Also, any timeline on the private substack? Thanks Smash
In real time there’s no single signal that says “this is failing” vs “just a pullback”—it’s about context and behavior.
The first clue was the inability to sustain above the IB high. Healthy extensions show acceptance (time + volume). Here, price pushed above IB but couldn’t stay there. On top of that, we saw lower highs, and there was no 30-minute close above the IB high, telling me the auction never truly accepted higher prices.
Orderflow is used to validate what structure is already suggesting: aggressive buying failing to move price, absorption, exhaustion, etc. As always, none of this is binary—markets can always re-accept higher.
No hard date yet on the private Substack—I’ve been a bit tied up with non-trading-related projects.
Thank you
Thanks Smash!!
🤝